Today in Focus: BLBD, SEZL, DDOG

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Market Condition: Extended, Pullback Likely

Commentary:

Copy and Paste from yesterday 😀 . Huge moves in many leading names including the market. Extreme caution on new positions here. A pullback is highly likely. I am sticking to rules on holdings but I’m not looking to pile on risk here. Especially on extended names the only issue is we keep getting good catalysts and good charts…

I continue to follow my rules on trims and sells religiously. Any time I try to get smart or scared or too confident I make mistakes.

Strong picks below in my opinion. Special mention to DDOG which I’m also watching but think it may work better as a delayed reaction after some consolidation.

In Play

SEZL:  Strong Earnings and Guidance

Key Metrics SEZL: Industry Group: Credit Services, Market Cap: 3.40B, Float: 16.47M, Short Interest: 28.59%, Days to Cover: 6.18, Sales Y/Y TTM: 66.08%, EPS Y/Y TTM: 68.68%, Earnings: May 06 AMC, Exchange: NASDAQ

Catalyst: Delivered a clean, broad-based beat across every reportable financial metric, raised full-year guidance significantly above consensus, and demonstrated that its subscriber-led engagement strategy is translating into structural margin expansion rather than one-time tailwinds.

Street guided for decel of Revs and they delivered acceleration instead. Lot’s of strong metrics past the headline figures. Beats and raises across the board. Nice chart. High short interest. Strong beat on Margins.

"The engagement flywheel we built is working." (Prepared Remarks — CEO Youakim)

"Even as we more than doubled marketing spend year-over-year, we continued to generate operating leverage across the business." (Prepared Remarks — CFO Brading)

BLBD:  Strong Earnings and Guidance

Key Metrics BLBD: Industry Group: Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery, Market Cap: 2.37B, Float: 31.14M, Short Interest: 11.21%, Days to Cover: 9.28, Sales Y/Y TTM: 11.61%, EPS Y/Y TTM: 22.09%, Earnings: May 06 AMC, Exchange: NASDAQ

Catalyst:

Guidance beat with record Q2 Adj. EBITDA and FCF; pricing power fully offsetting volume decline; guidance raised materially; Micro Bird acquisition adds TAM; financial quality high. Large guidance raise. Due to Micro Bird acquistion. Rev down YoY but other aspects very strong looking. Market share gain seems to be the story here. FCF up also meaning op leverage. Excellent chart, High Short Interest.

Current Positions: HUT, TWLO, TH, DELL, BAND, BE, SBUX, GOOG, SWBI, MRAM, NVDA, AAPU

Closed: CYTK, RVMD

New: HUT

Delayed Reaction Watchlist (TradingView Link)

_{Note: This is my methodology for identifying stocks in play. There are many valid approaches to trading catalysts—find the setups, timeframes, and risk parameters that align with your strategy.}