At a Glance
Regime: Weak · Open: Gap up · Risk on new positions: High · Custom T2108: 30.5, rising
Focus: CLF (Earnings Catalyst)
Tonight After Hours: STLD · Tomorrow Before Open: ACU, GM, GPC, HAS
Holding: MRNA
Situational Awareness
Market Condition: Weak/Bouncing
Commentary: Market gapping up this morning. Broad bounce. Whether that follows through or fades later today remains to be seen. TQQQ or SOXL aren't options for me into this gap up. Despite the rally in tech names the charts are still quite broken. This megatech earnings this week and the reactions will give us some more information.

On Friday two bounce signals flashed in the 20% Bullish/Bearish Study. 20% Bullish < 10 Stocks and the 20% Bearish > 100. You can see below that this reading is prone to being follows by at least a short term rally in stocks.

Today In Focus
CLF — Cleveland-Cliffs: Strong Earnings
Earnings Catalyst - Duration · Mkt cap $6.9B · Float 564M · SI 13.9% (4.7 days) · NYSE · Theme: Steel > Flat-Rolled Steel · Reported 19 Oct
Why: Strong Earnings and Guidance. The main news is the Huge EBITDA Guide of >$4b which is $1.5b above estimates. Notable Short Interest.
Note this is an NYSE stock so they tend to trend badly right at the open. Careful with spreads.
Level: $14 and $13.50 are the areas of interest for me today.

Also in Play
Stocks in Play Watchlist: TradingView
Secondary Picks: TLN (Powerplay)

Trade Updates
Open:
MRNA - Power Play - 17th September 2026 - 49% Remaining
Macro Events (Eastern Time)
Monday October 19 2026
10:00 AM - NAHB Housing Market Index (Oct) (Previous: 32, Consensus: 32)
IPOs Today
Mon 19 Oct: LCU - Lion Copper Corp. Common Shares - NASDAQ - We were incorporated under the name Blackjack Silver Corp.
Biotech Calendar
XBI -6.2% on the week and -8.8% on the month, under its 50-day. The sector tailwind is gone for now. Reactions have to prove themselves.
Note: Never front-run biotech catalysts. Wait for the catalyst to hit, then assess if the reaction is tradable. Dates are estimates and can shift.
Full H2 Biotech Watchlist: TradingView
Have a Great Week!
Sean Sharpe


